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2.3Results
Table 1 provides counts from theArizona July1
st
, 2010 population estimates and population
projections for each decade from 2020 ? 2050 separately for all Arizonans and forArizonans
ages 65 and older by race/ethnicity. Beginningwith the projected population for all Arizona
residents, Arizona?s overall population is expected to increase 81 percent from the 6,401,568
residents estimated in 2010 to a projected 11,562,584 in 2050. Compared to the population as a
whole, the population of older adults is expected to increase at amuch faster pace. By2050,
Arizona?s older adult population is projected to be 2,422,186, a 174 percent increase from the
883,014measured in 2010.
Table 1. Projection ofArizona?sTotal Population andPopulation age 65 andOlder byRace/Ethnicity,
2010 ? 2050
In addition to a disproportionate increase in the growth ofArizonans age 65 and older, the
racial/ethnic distribution ofArizona?s older adult population is projected to undergo substantial
change. Arizona?s older resident populationwas fairlyhomogenous in terms of race/ethnicity in
2010, with about 83 percent ofArizona?s older adult residents beingWhite non-Hispanic. About
11 percent ofArizona residents age 65 and older in 2010wereHispanic or Latino, withBlacks or
AfricanAmericans, American Indians orAlaskanNatives, andAsians or Pacific Islanders each
accounting for about 2 percent of the total population ofArizona?s older adults.
ArizonaPopulation
Race/Ethnicity
Population
Estimate %
Population
Projection %
Population
Projection %
Population
Projection %
Population
Projection %
White non-Hispanic
3,824,322
60% 4,148,309
55% 4,525,074
51% 4,827,968
47% 5,070,854
44%
Hispanic orLatino
1,839,016
29% 2,421,104
32% 3,197,808
36% 4,037,115
40% 4,911,772
42%
BlackorAfricanAmerican
259,432
4% 312,413
4% 378,459
4% 443,674
4% 507,959
4%
American IndianorAlaskanNative 297,038
5% 345,293
5% 393,011
4% 434,629
4% 472,728
4%
Asianor Pacific Islander
181,760
3% 258,044
3% 358,293
4% 475,022
5% 599,271
5%
Total
6,401,568
7,485,163
8,852,645
10,218,407
11,562,584
PercentChange from2010
ArizonaPopulation65 andolder
Race/Ethnicity
Population
Estimate %
Population
Projection %
Population
Projection %
Population
Projection %
Population
Projection %
White non-Hispanic
736,572
83% 1,028,631
79% 1,331,559
73% 1,433,756
67% 1,460,620
60%
Hispanic orLatino
94,706
11% 176,710
14% 317,485
18% 490,430
23% 666,309
28%
BlackorAfricanAmerican
17,349
2% 29,815
2% 50,243
3% 66,464
3% 79,718
3%
American IndianorAlaskanNative 20,047
2% 34,006
3% 55,140
3% 69,576
3% 81,764
3%
Asianor Pacific Islander
14,339
2% 31,579
2% 59,084
3% 95,565
4% 133,775
6%
Total
883,014
1,300,742
1,813,511
2,155,790
2,422,186
PercentChange from2010
Proportionofpopulationage 65+
21%
21%
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
60%
81%
47%
105%
144%
174%
17%
38%
14%
17%
20%
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
